Opinion & Analysis
2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play: Outright Betting Picks
We head to Austin Country Club this week for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. Last season we saw an exciting finish at the event with Billy Horschel taking down Scottie Scheffler in the finals.
Austin Country Club is a Par 71 measuring 7,108 yards. It is a Pete Dye design and features Bermudagrass greens.
The field will consist of 64 of the world’s top players. The only notable exceptions are Cameron Smith and Rory McIlroy. The players will be put in 16 groups of four, where the winner of each pod will advance to the final 16.
Past Winners at Austin Country Club
- 2021: Billy Horschel (32 seed)
- 2019: Kevin Kisner (48 seed)
- 2018: Bubba Watson (35 seed)
- 2017: Dustin Johnson (1 seed)
- 2016: Jason Day (2 seed)
2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Outright Bets
Jordan Spieth (+3500)
If there were ever a week where drilling long putts would be one of the most important factors, this may be the one. A hot putter has propelled a handful of golfers to victory in this event and Spieth is due to have one of his magical weeks. While that may not be the analytical approach that readers may desire, it never is with Jordan Spieth. When he wins an event, it will be due to his predictably unpredictable short game.
While it’s true that Spieth hasn’t had a week where he has gained an enormous amount of strokes with the putter in a while, there is plenty of reason to believe that this may be the week. His best Strokes Gained: Putting performance in both 2020 (+8.6) and 2021 (+7.1) came at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. There’s no denying that the former Texas Longhorn loves these Bermuda greens in the Texas area.
Tommy Fleetwood (+5000)
We are finally starting to see Tommy Fleetwood round into the form that made him a fan favorite throughout the course of his career. At the PLAYERS Championship, he gained 8.0 strokes from tee to green, which was the most he’s gained in over a year (Honda Classic 2020 +9.0). The Englishman followed up the performance with a solid showing at the Valspar Championship where he finished in a tie for 16th.
Fleetwood has excelled in match play formats throughout his career. He has a career record of 12-9-3 in singles matches and has won some big ones before. Most will remember his incredible performance in the 2018 Ryder Cup at Le Golf National where he was the second leading point scorer for the winning side, scoring 4 points in 5 matches.
Tommy is still in search of his first victory on American soil, and match play may just be the perfect change of pace for him to get it done.
Russell Henley (+5000)
The last time we saw Henley, he was gaining an absurd 11.5 strokes on approach at the PLAYERS Championship. While the statistics may be a bit skewed due to the extreme wave bias that played out, there’s no denying that he was striping his irons. Since the calendar switched to 2022, the 32-year-old hasn’t finished outside of the top 32 in any of his seven starts and has three finishes in the top 14.
Henley certainly fits a few trends with two of the past three winners of this event having been Georgia Bulldogs and all of the last three having played college golf in the SEC. After a stretch of poor putting, he’s seemed to turn it around having gained strokes putting in six of his past eight starts. That’s a positive sign heading into match play where he will need to make plenty of putts to contend.
Sergio Garcia (+5000)
Garcia is 12-7-1 at Austin Country Club and put on a masterful performance last year where he came up just short of making the final four. In singles match play overall, Sergio is 41-32-4 which speaks to his match play prowess and experience.
As evidenced by his great track record at Austin Country Club, Garcia is a perfect fit for the course. He drives the ball long and straight and ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. He really excels on short par 4’s and there are a handful of them this week that he should take advantage of. He also ranks 14th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on Pete Dye designs, which is historically a positive sign for this event.
Keith Mitchell (+9000)
Mitchell doesn’t have much match play experience, but does a lot of things well that should make him an ideal fit for Austin Country Club. In the past we have seen golfers who played in the SEC thrive in this event, and Mitchell is a similar type of player with an aggressive mentality. Bermuda putting is one of the biggest factors for the week, and being able to catch a hot putter is even more important in the match play format. Bermudagrass greens have been Mitchell’s preferred putting surface, and should be a comfort for the former Georgia Bulldog.
The 30-year-old comes into the event hot having finished in the top 13 on the leaderboard of four of his past five starts. His driving distance will give him an advantage this week and will be a difficult opponent for anyone he draws in Austin.
Opinion & Analysis
AVL: My U.S. Amateur local qualifying experience
This past Monday, I played in the U.S. Amateur local qualifier at Rock Creek Country Club in Portland, Oregon. A full tee sheet from 7:30 a.m. to 1:55 p.m., the top 11 scores would make it to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying.
I teed off at 10:48 a.m.. With the 7:30 am tee time, you can get a feel for the leaders’ pace, and they were off and running on the challenging setup at Rock Creek.
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Getting to the highlight of the round on the par five 17th, a drive up the left side and 212 yards left to the front hole location. I took out a 5-iron with plans of middle of the green. The ball ended up 8 feet left of the hole, pin high. A slight downhill putt dropped in for an eagle 3 on the 17th. With the cut line looking to be anywhere from -2 to even par. This was the boost I had been waiting for all day.
With making par from the trees on 18, it was time to wait for a potential playoff with a posted score of one under par 71.
Three hours later, it was playoff time. 8 players for 6 spots. I made par on the playoff hole, which was good enough to advance to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying in July. USGA qualifiers sure deliver on all of the emotions in golf!
Club Junkie
Building my 2026 gamer WITB: Ranking the contenders and new putter projects – Club Junkie Podcast
The annual What’s In The Bag build is underway, and on this episode of Club Junkie, Brian breaks down the clubs currently leading the race for a spot in his 2026 gamer setup. From drivers and fairway woods to irons, wedges, and shafts, he ranks the equipment that’s performing best and explains what’s separating the front runners from the rest of the field.
Brian also heads into the workshop to discuss several putter projects currently on the bench. From head options and shaft choices to build ideas and testing plans, he shares what he’s working on and which putters could become serious contenders for the bag this season.
If you’re a gear junkie who loves equipment testing, club building, and the never-ending pursuit of the perfect setup, this episode is for you.
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Club Junkie
Tour Edge Exotics mini driver review + TaylorMade Spider ZT Max first look – Club Junkie
On this episode of Club Junkie, I put the new Tour Edge Exotics Mini Driver to the test and break down the performance, forgiveness, distance, and where it fits compared to a traditional driver or strong fairway wood. If you have been curious about adding a mini driver to the bag, this one is worth a look.
I also dive into the new TaylorMade Spider ZT Max putter that was recently spotted and discuss the growing zero torque putter trend. Plus, there is a closer look at the new Project X Titan Yellow shaft showing up on the PGA Tour and what makes it different from other profiles currently out there.
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