Opinion & Analysis
2022 RBC Heritage: Outright Bets
Just a short two-hour drive from Augusta National, the PGA Tour heads to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina to play the 2022 RBC Heritage. Hilton Head Island is a golfer’s paradise and Harbour Town is one of the most beautiful and scenic courses on PGA Tour.
Harbour Town Golf Links is a par 71 course measuring 7,121 yards and features Bermuda-grass greens. A Pete Dye design, the course is heavily tree lined and features small greens and many dog legs protecting it from “bomb and gauge” type golfers.
The field is loaded this week with 138 golfers. It may quite possibly be the best field in RBC Heritage history when it has been at this point in the schedule.
Some notable golfers in the field are Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, Patrick Cantlay, Joaquin Niemann, Daniel Berger, Matt Fitzpatrick and Sungjae Im.
2022 RBC Outright Bets
Corey Conners (+2500):
Conners has been putting it all together of late and seems to be trending towards his second career PGA Tour victory. The Canadian threatened to win the WGC Dell Match Play a few weeks ago before losing in the semifinals to a red-hot Kevin Kisner. He followed that performance up with an incredibly impressive performance last week at Augusta National finishing in a tie for sixth place. In a week where all of the best players in the world were seemingly making big numbers left and right, Conners’ steady play was exceptional. He shot 70-73-72-70 in large part due his ability to control the golf ball in any and all conditions.
Recent winners have all excelled in hitting greens in regulation. That is great news for Conners, considering he ranks first in his past 24 rounds in greens in regulation in this star-studded field. In many ways, Harbour Town is the perfect course for the 30-year-old. He is remarkably accurate both off of the tee and with his irons. With the course having the second smallest greens on Tour, his precision will pay dividends.
Conners has already proven he likes the course, having finished fourth here last year. That week, he gained 8.1 strokes from tee to green and 2 strokes with the putter. Both statistics and the eye test say his putter is starting to come around, which would be the only aspect of his game holding him back from being robed in a plaid jacket Sunday evening.
Daniel Berger (+2800) (Bet365):
At times, golf can be an incredibly difficult sport to predict. With a wide range of potential outcomes in every tournament, narrowing down the winner is never an easy task. With that fact being acknowledged, Daniel Berger’s success has been somewhat predictable in the past.
All four of Berger’s PGA Tour victories have come at relatively short courses. TPC Southwind (two wins), Colonial Country Club, and Pebble Beach Golf Links are all courses that do not require distance off the tee and reward sharp iron play. In his past 36 rounds, the Florida State University product ranks first in the field in courses that are under 7,200 yards. Harbour Town Golf Links fits that description as it is a par 71 measuring 7,121 yards. Unsurprisingly, Berger has excelled at the course in the past with a 13th place finish last year, and a 3rd place finish in 2020.
Berger also arrives at Harbour Town in solid form. Among his six stroke play starts this season, he has finished in the top 20 in four of them including two finishes in the top five. At a course with the second smallest greens on Tour, spectacular iron play is going to be more important than ever. The 29-year-old is a remarkably consistent iron player, and ranks first in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 50 rounds.
Berger has shown he is capable of winning in strong fields when the course suits him, and Harbour Town seems to be an ideal spot for him to earn his 5th PGA Tour victory.
Billy Horschel (+4500) (DraftKings):
“Billy Ho” is having an excellent 2022 season. The former Florida Gator is seven for seven in made cuts and finished in second place at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before making a nice run at the WGC- Dell Match Play.
Speaking of the Match Play (which Horschel won in 2021), Austin Country Club is a Pete Dye design like Harbour Town. Both courses require a great deal of strategy and accuracy, which suit Horschel’s strengths. Another similar course to Harbour Town is Sedgefield Country Club, which is arguably Horschel’s favorite course on Tour. He finished in second place there in 2020 and had only one finish outside of the top 11 in his last five trips.
The 35-year-old ranked ninth in Strokes Gained: Approach at The Masters last week which shows me he is in good form considering Augusta National is a course that really doesn’t lend itself to what Billy does best.
Due to the strong field this week, mid-tier players with real equity have slipped down the betting board a bit. Horschel is a great value bet this week and has a real shot to contend.
Kevin Kisner (+5500) (DraftKings):
In his past two starts on Pete Dye tracks, Kevin Kisner has finished 4th at THE PLAYERS Championship which features arguably the best field in golf, and runner up to Scottie Scheffler at the WGC-Dell Technolgies Match Play. “Kiz” will be the first to tell you he has a tough time competing with the big hitters at long courses, but when he gets to one of his spots he has as good a chance as anyone.
Harbour Town is a strategic golf course that requires golfers to make smart decisions. Kisner excels on those types of tracks and comes into the week feeling confident knowing that he’s playing a course that he can win at. Kisner has struggled here the past few years but has finished 2nd here back in 2015. He comes into the week with strong form and if his game is clicking on all cylinders, he can go toe to toe with anyone in the field.
Si Woo Kim (+6500) (DraftKings):
I was a bit surprised when I saw Si Woo Kim at +6500 this week. Yes, the field is stronger than we usually see at the RBC Heritage, but this track is as perfect as it gets for the South Korean. Kim has three PGA Tour victories, and all three are on Pete Dye designed courses. He also has had great results on this particular Dye track, as he narrowly lost in a playoff here to Satoshi Kodaira here in 2018. He also had a close call at the Wyndham Championship, which is a similar course to Harbour Town with a great deal of leaderboard crossover.
Kim has had a solid but unspectacular 2022 thus far, and a win this week would help jump start his case for this year’s Presidents Cup.
Opinion & Analysis
AVL: My U.S. Amateur local qualifying experience
This past Monday, I played in the U.S. Amateur local qualifier at Rock Creek Country Club in Portland, Oregon. A full tee sheet from 7:30 a.m. to 1:55 p.m., the top 11 scores would make it to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying.
I teed off at 10:48 a.m.. With the 7:30 am tee time, you can get a feel for the leaders’ pace, and they were off and running on the challenging setup at Rock Creek.
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Getting to the highlight of the round on the par five 17th, a drive up the left side and 212 yards left to the front hole location. I took out a 5-iron with plans of middle of the green. The ball ended up 8 feet left of the hole, pin high. A slight downhill putt dropped in for an eagle 3 on the 17th. With the cut line looking to be anywhere from -2 to even par. This was the boost I had been waiting for all day.
With making par from the trees on 18, it was time to wait for a potential playoff with a posted score of one under par 71.
Three hours later, it was playoff time. 8 players for 6 spots. I made par on the playoff hole, which was good enough to advance to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying in July. USGA qualifiers sure deliver on all of the emotions in golf!
Club Junkie
Building my 2026 gamer WITB: Ranking the contenders and new putter projects – Club Junkie Podcast
The annual What’s In The Bag build is underway, and on this episode of Club Junkie, Brian breaks down the clubs currently leading the race for a spot in his 2026 gamer setup. From drivers and fairway woods to irons, wedges, and shafts, he ranks the equipment that’s performing best and explains what’s separating the front runners from the rest of the field.
Brian also heads into the workshop to discuss several putter projects currently on the bench. From head options and shaft choices to build ideas and testing plans, he shares what he’s working on and which putters could become serious contenders for the bag this season.
If you’re a gear junkie who loves equipment testing, club building, and the never-ending pursuit of the perfect setup, this episode is for you.
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Club Junkie
Tour Edge Exotics mini driver review + TaylorMade Spider ZT Max first look – Club Junkie
On this episode of Club Junkie, I put the new Tour Edge Exotics Mini Driver to the test and break down the performance, forgiveness, distance, and where it fits compared to a traditional driver or strong fairway wood. If you have been curious about adding a mini driver to the bag, this one is worth a look.
I also dive into the new TaylorMade Spider ZT Max putter that was recently spotted and discuss the growing zero torque putter trend. Plus, there is a closer look at the new Project X Titan Yellow shaft showing up on the PGA Tour and what makes it different from other profiles currently out there.
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