Only four of the top-30 players in the Official World Rankings are in action this week for the Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. That’s because the majority of the worlds best either decided to rest or play the European Tour’s HNA Open de France at Le Golf National, which is the site of this year’s Ryder Cup. Tiger Woods is back in action this week, however, as he continues his impressive 2018 comeback at this event where he plays host.

Despite measuring just 7,107 yards, TPC Potomac is anything but easy. In fact, it played as one of the most challenging stops on Tour last year. The reason for this is mainly due to the extremely tight fairways, which are imperative to find if you want to have an opportunity to score. Don’t expect to see many drivers hit off the tee this week, as most players will prioritize accuracy over distance. In 2017, Kyle Stanley defeated Charles Howell III at TPC Potomac in a sudden-death playoff after both men had posted 7-under par in regulation.

Selected Tournament Odds (via Bet365)

• Rickie Fowler 13/2
• Tiger Woods 12/1
• Marc Leishman 18/1
• Francesco Molinari 22/1
• Kyle Stanley 22/1
• J.B. Holmes8/1
• Charles Howell III 28/1

With a field desperately lacking in depth, it’s time for Tiger Woods (14/1, DK Price $11,000) to capture PGA Tour title No. 80. Woods is a clear second favorite in the betting this week, yet he is third behind Fowler and Leishman in DraftKings salary. I believe he should be first in both.

Woods won’t have to hit many drivers this week, just like at the Valspar Championship where he came so close to winning. Tiger can lean on his stinger off the tee, which gives him an advantage over the rest of the field. Ball striking is going to be critical this week, and Woods has not disappointed in this area since his return. Over his previous 24 rounds, Woods ranks third in Ball Striking and first in Strokes Gained-Approaching the Green. His approach play has been particularly impressive as of late. Over his last 12 rounds, he sits first in the field for Proximity to the Hole.

Woods ranks first in the field over his last 24 rounds for Strokes Gained-Total on golf courses measuring less than 7,200 yards. With his iron play looking imperious, all the signs point to a big week for him. The one doubt is Woods’ putting, which has been a little ropey as of late. Performance on the greens is liable to unpredictable changes in variance, however, and I don’t expect Woods to continue to falter in this department. In a weak field, and on a golf course that will benefit his excellent iron play more than most, this is an outstanding opportunity for Tiger Woods to re-enter the winner’s circle, and it’s one I believe he will take.

Finding value in the middle of the board this week is a challenge, but Gary Woodland’s (50/1, DK Price $8,100) salary of just $8,100 looks to be very cheap. Woodland has struggled since he won the Waste Management Phoenix Open earlier in the year, but over his last two events, he has shown signs of promise. In these two events, Woodland has gained over eight strokes for his Approach Play. With approach shots likely to be the key to success this week, this bodes very well for the long hitter.

Woodland has performed well on shorter golf courses through his career. Over his previous 50 rounds, Woodland ranks fourth in the field for Strokes Gained-Total on golf courses that are less than 7,200 yards. Woodland has also played competently on challenging golf courses recently. The Kansas native ranks 17th in the field over his last 24 rounds on golf courses where the scoring is difficult relative to par. With his irons sharp and his game slowly coming back into form, Woodland is underpriced and offers a lot of value this week.

He’s made 16 out of 17 cuts this season, and what might be the weakest field of the year, Rory Sabbatini (DK Price 100/1, DK Price $7,400) offers plenty of value at just $7,400. Sabbatini ranks 25th for Strokes Gained-Total over his previous 24 rounds, and he is more than adept at playing tough golf courses well. Over the same period and on golf courses where scoring is difficult relative to par, Sabbatini’s Strokes Gained-Total takes a jump up to 16th in this field.

Sabbatini also has an outstanding record on par-70 golf courses. Over his previous 24 rounds, Sabbatini sits eighth in this field for ball striking and third for Strokes Gained-Total on such courses. TPC Potomac should be a good fit for Sabbatini, and he looks a more reliable choice than others in his salary range.

As for bargain hunting this week, I like the look of Fabian Gomez (200/1, DK Price $7,100) at just $7,100. Gomez has been quite a reliable performer this year, making eight of his last nine cuts on Tour. He is coming off his best finish of the year at the Travelers where he bagged a top-20.

Gomez gained 6.6 strokes Tee to Green over the field at the Travelers last week, which was his sixth-best performance in this category of his career. The Argentine also enjoys short golf courses and sits 32nd in this field for Strokes Gained-Total on courses less than 7,200 yards over his previous 12 rounds. His immediate form is good. He’s ranked 19th for Strokes Gained Total over his last eight rounds, and he is worth taking a shot on this week at the low price.

Recommended Plays

• Tiger Woods 14/1, DK Price $11,000
• Gary Woodland 50/1, DK Price $8,100
• Rory Sabbatini 100/1, DK Price $7,400
• Fabian Gomez 200/1, DK Price $7,100