Opinion & Analysis
3M Open: Outright Betting Picks
The golf world was treated to an all-time major championship as Cameron Smith won the 150th Open Championship at St. Andrews. This week, the PGA TOUR heads to TPC Twin Cities to play the 3M Open for the fourth consecutive year.
An Arnold Palmer design, TPC Twin Cities is a 7,431-yard, par-71. The course is extremely flat throughout and features Bentgrass greens. The fairways are easier to hit than TOUR average but 13 of the 18 holes do have water hazards in play.
The 3M Open will play host to 156 golfers this week with the top 65 players and ties making the weekend. Some notable golfers making the trip to Minnesota include Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Day, Tony Finau, Sungjae Im, and Davis Riley.
2022 3M Open Outright Bets
Cameron Davis (+2500, DraftKings):
The golf world was just treated to a dazzling performance by an Australian at the Open Championship and perhaps another Australian can put on a show at TPC Twin Cities, albeit on a much smaller stage.
Cameron Davis has a dream skill set for the golf course. He hits the ball a long way and can make birdies in bunches. He also loves putting on Bentgrass greens which is statistically his preferred putting surface by a large margin. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and 6th in the field in Birdie or Better Gained.
Aside from the ideal course fit, the 27-year-old is also in spectacular form. He’s coming off of back-to-back top eight finishes and was fantastic statistically at the John Deere Classic. He gained 4.7 strokes off the tee and 4.4 strokes on approach, which would certainly do the trick at the 3M Open.
Sahith Theegala (+2500, DraftKings):
In terms of potential, I don’t think there are too many players in this field who will be better than Sahith Theegala when all is said and done. The 2020 Haskins Award winner hits the ball long off the tee, which has been a major benefit for winners at TPC Twin Cities in the past.
Theegala has also built up some recent scar tissue that should be beneficial for his chances this week. At the Travelers Championship, he finished in 2nd place after a devastating bunker shot on the 18th hole that cost him the tournament. To be in that position in an incredibly strong field can only make him a better player going forward. The following week, Theegala bounced back immediately and gained 9.8 strokes from tee to green and finished in 16th at the John Deere Classic.
I believe Theegala is going to win a TOUR event in the near future. The field this week is one of the weakest we’ve seen of late so he should have the talent to get it done at TPC Twin Cities.
Dylan Frittelli (+6500, DraftKings):
Dylan Frittelli comes to Minnesota in fairly good form. He played well during his trip across the pond and capped it off with a T-28 finish at the Open Championship.
The South African is a boom-or-bust player, but that is in large part what I am targeting this week. His finishes are far from consistent but when on the weeks he plays well he tends to linger in contention until the end. He also has the ability to go low when he starts to feel confident with the putter. In 2019, he won the John Deere Classic by firing a final round 64 to finish the tournament at -21. If this year’s edition of the 3M turns into a birdie-fest, he is well suited to keep pace.
Last year, we saw two South Africans in the top three of the leaderboard (Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel). If he can avoid the plethora of water hazards on the course, Frittelli has the fire power to contend at TPC Twin Cities.
Troy Merritt (+8100, bet365):
To say Troy Merritt is familiar with Minnesota golf would be an understatement. Merritt moved to Minnesota in High School and played high school golf at Spring Lake Park. He used to watch the 3M Championship in person (back when it was a Champions Tour event) and he even played the course multiple times as a high school kid.
Merritt will have plenty of friends and family at the event, but more importantly, he knows how to play this style of golf course.
“Spent plenty of years up here playing these style of golf courses, and hopefully we can use that to our advantage this weekend,” Merritt said in 2021.
Aside from the familiarity, the 36-year-old has played some solid golf at TPC Twin Cities as a professional. Merritt finished in 7th place at the course in 2019 and had another strong showing in 2021. His finish wasn’t spectacular, but he showed he could go low on the course as he was the co-leader after the first round with Rickie Fowler and Jhonnatan Vegas.
The two-time PGA TOUR winner’s form coming into the event is nothing special, although he did finish 30th and gain 7.5 strokes on approach at the Genesis Scottish Open, but he wasn’t in great form last year either. He fired the first round -7-under 64 after posting back-to-back missed cuts in his past two starts.
With a few events under his belt at TPC Twin Cities as a professional, perhaps some home cooking could propel him to his third PGA TOUR victory this week in Minnesota.
Opinion & Analysis
AVL: My U.S. Amateur local qualifying experience
This past Monday, I played in the U.S. Amateur local qualifier at Rock Creek Country Club in Portland, Oregon. A full tee sheet from 7:30 a.m. to 1:55 p.m., the top 11 scores would make it to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying.
I teed off at 10:48 a.m.. With the 7:30 am tee time, you can get a feel for the leaders’ pace, and they were off and running on the challenging setup at Rock Creek.
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Getting to the highlight of the round on the par five 17th, a drive up the left side and 212 yards left to the front hole location. I took out a 5-iron with plans of middle of the green. The ball ended up 8 feet left of the hole, pin high. A slight downhill putt dropped in for an eagle 3 on the 17th. With the cut line looking to be anywhere from -2 to even par. This was the boost I had been waiting for all day.
With making par from the trees on 18, it was time to wait for a potential playoff with a posted score of one under par 71.
Three hours later, it was playoff time. 8 players for 6 spots. I made par on the playoff hole, which was good enough to advance to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying in July. USGA qualifiers sure deliver on all of the emotions in golf!
Club Junkie
Building my 2026 gamer WITB: Ranking the contenders and new putter projects – Club Junkie Podcast
The annual What’s In The Bag build is underway, and on this episode of Club Junkie, Brian breaks down the clubs currently leading the race for a spot in his 2026 gamer setup. From drivers and fairway woods to irons, wedges, and shafts, he ranks the equipment that’s performing best and explains what’s separating the front runners from the rest of the field.
Brian also heads into the workshop to discuss several putter projects currently on the bench. From head options and shaft choices to build ideas and testing plans, he shares what he’s working on and which putters could become serious contenders for the bag this season.
If you’re a gear junkie who loves equipment testing, club building, and the never-ending pursuit of the perfect setup, this episode is for you.
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Club Junkie
Tour Edge Exotics mini driver review + TaylorMade Spider ZT Max first look – Club Junkie
On this episode of Club Junkie, I put the new Tour Edge Exotics Mini Driver to the test and break down the performance, forgiveness, distance, and where it fits compared to a traditional driver or strong fairway wood. If you have been curious about adding a mini driver to the bag, this one is worth a look.
I also dive into the new TaylorMade Spider ZT Max putter that was recently spotted and discuss the growing zero torque putter trend. Plus, there is a closer look at the new Project X Titan Yellow shaft showing up on the PGA Tour and what makes it different from other profiles currently out there.
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