The PGA Tour heads to Potomac, Maryland to play the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship. Typically, the Wells Fargo Championship is played at Quail Hollow Golf and Country Club but due to the course hosting this year’s President Cup, TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm will be hosting the event temporarily.

TPC Potomac at Avenel Farms is a par 70 golf course measuring in at 7,139 yards and features bentgrass greens. The course has been used professionally since 1987 starting with the Kemper Open from 1987 to 2002 After that, the course hosted the Booz Allen Classic until 2006. Most recently, TPC Potomac hosted the 2017 and 2018 Quicken Loans National.

The field this week will consist of 156 players, including plenty of superstars who are preparing for the PGA Championship in a few weeks. Some of the notable golfers in the field include Rory McIlroy, Abraham Ancer, Paul Casey, Corey Conners, Tony Finau, Matt Fitzpatrick, Sergio Garcia, Tyrrell Hatton, Marc Leishman, Louis Oosthuizen, Webb Simpson, and Gary Woodland.

2022 Wells Fargo Championship Best Bets

Corey Conners (+2000)

Corey Conners has been knocking at the door all year long and now finds himself at a course where the fit feels almost too good to be true.

TPC Potomac favors golfers who can put the ball in the fairway. There are plenty of courses on Tour in 2022 where players can get away with spraying it off the tee. This is not one of those tracks. Errant tee shots will be penalized with big numbers on the scorecard, and few can put the ball in the fairway while also maintaining field average distance as well as the Canadian does. Conners ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 4th in the field in Good Drives Gained.

In addition to being a great driver of the golf ball, Conners is also a phenomenal iron player. With tricky green complexes at TPC Potomac, sharp iron play will be a major advantage when trying to get the ball on the right level of the putting surface.

Additionally, in his past 24 rounds, the 30-year-old ranks 15th in the field in Strokes Gained on short par 70 courses.

Simply put, Corey Conners checks all the boxes this week. The price tag is a bit steep, but this is the right course at the right time for a potential second PGA Tour victory.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200)

In 2018, there was a certain narrative regarding a supremely talented European golfer who “couldn’t win” on the PGA Tour. Leading into the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac, Fransesco Molinari had never won a PGA Tour event. Prior to the victory, he had contended at numerous events throughout his career but couldn’t get over the hump. After Moli got his win at TPC Potomac he went on to win the Open Championship in 2018 and the Arnold Palmer invitational in 2019.

Another golfer who carries a reputation thus far in his career of not being able to get it done on the PGA Tour is Matt Fitzpatrick. Like Molinari, Fitz has gotten into contention plenty of times including at the Players and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The Englishman also has a very similar skillset to an in-form Molinari and feels like a perfect fit for TPC Potomac.

The Englishman ranks in the top 25 in the field in Fairways Gained, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, and Good Drives Gained. He is excellent with the driver and will keep the ball in play at a course where that is an absolute requirement.

The main concern I have when betting Fitzpatrick is whether or not he can make enough birdies to keep pace on the scoring fests we usually see on the PGA Tour. Considering TPC Potomac has played quite difficult in the past, I don’t expect the winning score to get out of hand this week, making it an ideal fit for Fitzpatrick’s style of play.

Paul Casey (+4000)

There is a definite injury concern with Paul Casey considering he was forced to withdraw from his past two starts with a back injury. However, the risk is baked into the price this week. If he was healthy, his betting odds are most likely cut in half in this field. Additionally, I don’t think he would attempt to play this week if he wasn’t healthy with the PGA Championship right around the corner.

When Casey is at his best, TPC Potomac should be an ideal fit for the Englishman. He ranks 2nd in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach in his past 24 rounds and is a great all-around driver of the ball. He has excelled throughout his career on difficult courses and all three of his PGA Tour victories have had winning scores of worse than -11. I expect conditions to be fairly difficult this week so the event should be right in Casey’s wheelhouse.

Betting on Casey this week is by no means safe, but with outright bets I like to play the “ceiling” on players. If he is indeed healthy this is a great number on a world class player.