Opinion & Analysis
How to qualify for the U.S. Amateur (in-depth statistical analysis and tutorial)
This is a follow-up of sorts to an article that I published on GolfWRX in May 2017: A Modern Blueprint to Breaking 80.
With the U.S. Amateur concluding at iconic Pebble Beach last weekend, I thought of the many amateurs out there who would love to one day qualify for this prestigious event. Personally, I made it to the State Amateur level, but work and life got in the way and I never made it to the next step. For those who aspire or wonder, here’s an outline of what your game should look like if you want to qualify for the U.S. Amateur.
Scoring
To start with, your USGA Index needs to be 2.4 or lower to even attempt to qualify. If your course is rated 71.5/130*, the best 10 of your most recent 20 scores should average 74.3. This score will adjust slightly up if your course is rated more difficult, and slightly down if it’s rated less difficult. For the purposes of this article, I’m assuming the average course and slope rating above.
*Note: 71.5/130 is the average rating of courses played by single digit handicap golfers in the ShotByShot.com database of 340,000 rounds.
Your average scores by par type will be:
- Par 3: 3.21
- Par 4: 4.20
- Par 5: 4.86
The Fastest and Easiest Way to Lower Your Scores
Every round is a mix of good shots, average shots and bad shots/errors. The challenge is to determine which piece of your game’s unique puzzle is your greatest weakness in order to target your improvement efforts on the highest impact area. If you track the simple good and bad outcomes listed below for a few rounds, your strengths and weaknesses will become apparent.
Tee Game or Driving
Goals: Hit EIGHT fairways and limit your driving errors to ONE, with the majority being the less costly “No Shot errors” (more on this later).
Distance: I will ignore this and assume you’re maximizing distance as best you can without sacrificing accuracy.
Fairways: Hitting fairways is crucial, as we are all statistically significantly more accurate from the short grass.
Errors: Far more important than Fairways Hit, however, is the FREQUENCY and SEVERITY of misses. To help golfers understand the weaknesses in their game, my golf analysis program allows users to record and categorize the THREE types of Driving Errors:
- No Shot: You have missed in a place from which you do not have a normal next shot and require some sort of advancement to get the ball back to normal play.
- Penalty: A 1-stroke penalty due to hazard or unplayable lie.
- Lost/OB: Stroke and distance penalty.
Approach Shots
Goals: ELEVEN GIRs and ONE penalty/2nd
Penalty/2nd: This means either a penalty or a shot hit so poorly that you are left with yet another full approach shot from greater than 50 yards of the hole.
The chart below displays the typical array of Approach Shot opportunities from the fairway (75 percent fall in the 100 to 200-yard range). The 150 to 175-yard range tends to be the most frequent distance for golfers playing the appropriate distance golf course for their game.

Short Game (defined as shots from within 50 yards of the hole)
Chip/Pitch: If you miss 7 greens, you will have 6 green-side save opportunities. Your goals should be:
- Percentage of shots to within 5 feet: 40 percent
- Percentage of Saves: 47 percent (3)
- Percentage of Errors (shots that miss the green): 6 percent, or approximately 1 in 17 attempts.
Sand: You should have 1 of these green-side save opportunities. Your goals:
- Percentage of shots to within 8 feet: 35 percent
- Percentage Saves: 32 percent
- Percentage of Errors (shots that miss the green): 13 percent, or approximately 1 in 8 attempts.
Putting: You need just over 31 putts. Aim for:
- 1-Putts: 6
- 3-Putts: 1
The chart below displays the percentage of 1-Putts you will need to make by distance, as well as the typical array of first-putt opportunities by distance. Note that 62 percent of your first-putt opportunities will fall in the 4 to 20-foot range. Adjust your practice efforts accordingly!

Good luck, and please let me know if and when you are successful.
For a complete Strokes Gained Analysis of your game, log on to ShotByShot.com and sign up for a 1-round free trial.
Opinion & Analysis
AVL: My U.S. Amateur local qualifying experience
This past Monday, I played in the U.S. Amateur local qualifier at Rock Creek Country Club in Portland, Oregon. A full tee sheet from 7:30 a.m. to 1:55 p.m., the top 11 scores would make it to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying.
I teed off at 10:48 a.m.. With the 7:30 am tee time, you can get a feel for the leaders’ pace, and they were off and running on the challenging setup at Rock Creek.
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Getting to the highlight of the round on the par five 17th, a drive up the left side and 212 yards left to the front hole location. I took out a 5-iron with plans of middle of the green. The ball ended up 8 feet left of the hole, pin high. A slight downhill putt dropped in for an eagle 3 on the 17th. With the cut line looking to be anywhere from -2 to even par. This was the boost I had been waiting for all day.
With making par from the trees on 18, it was time to wait for a potential playoff with a posted score of one under par 71.
Three hours later, it was playoff time. 8 players for 6 spots. I made par on the playoff hole, which was good enough to advance to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying in July. USGA qualifiers sure deliver on all of the emotions in golf!
Club Junkie
Building my 2026 gamer WITB: Ranking the contenders and new putter projects – Club Junkie Podcast
The annual What’s In The Bag build is underway, and on this episode of Club Junkie, Brian breaks down the clubs currently leading the race for a spot in his 2026 gamer setup. From drivers and fairway woods to irons, wedges, and shafts, he ranks the equipment that’s performing best and explains what’s separating the front runners from the rest of the field.
Brian also heads into the workshop to discuss several putter projects currently on the bench. From head options and shaft choices to build ideas and testing plans, he shares what he’s working on and which putters could become serious contenders for the bag this season.
If you’re a gear junkie who loves equipment testing, club building, and the never-ending pursuit of the perfect setup, this episode is for you.
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Club Junkie
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I also dive into the new TaylorMade Spider ZT Max putter that was recently spotted and discuss the growing zero torque putter trend. Plus, there is a closer look at the new Project X Titan Yellow shaft showing up on the PGA Tour and what makes it different from other profiles currently out there.
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Bob Castelline
Aug 22, 2018 at 12:43 pm
I don’t know how accurate this is (it seems fine) but it’s a good way to analyze one’s game. My own home-spun, much less detailed method has been to shoot for 12 GIR and 3 up-and-down saves, with no double bogeys. That produces 3-over with no birdies. But it appears I’m too ambitious (and probably why I never achieve both goals, even when I shoot better than 3-over).
Raj
Aug 21, 2018 at 2:22 am
This is interesting. At the very least to get more systematic about my game. I’m an 8 HCP and tend to think I manage my round well but definitely am not tracking stats. I’ve tried but usually lose interest in doing that about 5 holes in, with or without an app.