Opinion & Analysis
Surprises Who Could Win The PGA Championship
The final major of 2013 — the PGA Championship — is just days away, giving one last chance for players to claim major glory. Deservedly so, Tiger Woods is commanding most of the attention after his runaway seven-shot win in last weekend’s Bridgestone Invitational.
Despite Woods’ impressive victory, the PGA Championship has a habit of throwing up surprise winners and the 2013 tournament could do just that. Last year, we saw the then-rising stature of Rory Mcilroy dominate a strong field of contenders winning by a massive eight shots. The three previous winners were outsiders at the time in Keegan Bradley, Martin Kaymer and Y.E. Yang.
Adding to the case for a long shot to win is 18-time major winner Jack Nicklaus who had this to say:
“The player has to suit his game to the golf course and the guys that can adapt to it are the guys that always have been the good players,” Nicklaus said. “I mean, (Phil) Mickelson will adapt well to it. Tiger will adapt well to it. I think there’s a lot of guys that will adapt well to it.
“You have so many good players today that I think will like Oak Hill, will enjoy playing the golf course and could have an opportunity to win. To try to pick one of them out of there is pretty difficult right now.”
Here are seven players I think could surprise Tiger and company and adapt their game for the win.
Bill Haas — 56/1
The world No. 24 is having another strong year and recorded his fifth Tour victory in June’s AT&T National. He has had three top 10’s in his last four starts maintaining his good form including a T7 at last week’s Bridgestone Invitational. He’s first in T10 finishes this year with nine and leads the GIR category from 150 to 175 yards.
If he can find his share of fairways, his strong iron play could enable him make a serious threat come Sunday.
Jason Day — 36/1
The Australian and world No. 20 is destined to win a major after a string of impressive performance in major tournaments. Day again went agonizingly close at the both the Masters and U.S. Open this year where he lead the tournament at various stages on the back nine on Sunday.
He’s yet to miss a cut in 2013 showing his amazing consistency. At just 25 years of age, he’s already recorded five top 10’s in majors in his career.
A strong short game and long off the tee, if things can fall his way he’s a great chance.
Matt Kuchar — 36/1
The popular smiling American is having his best season to date recording two victories including seven top 10’s and 18 for 18 cuts made.
Kuchar finished T8, T28 and T15 at the first three majors of the year and continues to churn out solid performances.
An impressive scoring average of 69.59 highlights his consistency as does his scrambling ability (currently 8th) which means he knows how to get up to down.
A win here for his first major victory would not surprise.
Ian Poulter — 56/1
The colorful Englishmen is having a decent season despite his limited appearances on the PGA Tour.
Poulter missed the cut at April’s Masters but bounced back to finish T21 at the U.S. Open and an impressive T3 at the British Open after finishing with a sterling 67. He’s recorded four top 10’s in majors the last two years (including T3 here last year) showing Poulter is capable of measuring up to the best in the world.
With England enjoying a golden run in major sporting events in 2013, Poulter could add to the tally with his first major victory.
Richard Sterne — 111/1
The South African and world No. 34 is a bit of an unknown to many but has proved he can play well on the big stage. He won his country’s Joburg Open this year with a score of 27-under par winning by a massive 7 strokes from former Masters winner and countryman Charles Schwartzel.
After struggling with back injuries through much of 2010 and 2011, he seems to have regained his form and fitness.
Leading up to the PGA Championship he finished a very credible T9 with rounds of 70, 68, 70 and 68 at the difficult Bridgestone Invitational last week in a major strength field.
Martin Kaymer — 56/1
The former world No. 1 has disappeared off the world stage since his win at the PGA in 2010. The current world No. 35 is slowly finding form again which saw him reach golfs pinnacle.
He’s made the cut in all three majors this year and finished strongly at the last lead up tournament at the Bridgestone Invitational finishing off with rounds of 67, 69 and 66 in difficult conditions.
Perhaps a second major is coming for the German.
Bill Horschel — 111/1
Horschel is one of the hottest young players on the PGA Tour in 2013 with a string of good performances highlighted by his win at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. His red-hot form through March and April saw him record an amazing four consecutive top-10 finishes culminating in his maiden victory.
Proving he can match it on the big stage he finished an impressive T4 at the U.S. Open in June.
His strength is his ability to make birdies which sees him first in birdies made in 2013.
Opinion & Analysis
AVL: My U.S. Amateur local qualifying experience
This past Monday, I played in the U.S. Amateur local qualifier at Rock Creek Country Club in Portland, Oregon. A full tee sheet from 7:30 a.m. to 1:55 p.m., the top 11 scores would make it to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying.
I teed off at 10:48 a.m.. With the 7:30 am tee time, you can get a feel for the leaders’ pace, and they were off and running on the challenging setup at Rock Creek.
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Getting to the highlight of the round on the par five 17th, a drive up the left side and 212 yards left to the front hole location. I took out a 5-iron with plans of middle of the green. The ball ended up 8 feet left of the hole, pin high. A slight downhill putt dropped in for an eagle 3 on the 17th. With the cut line looking to be anywhere from -2 to even par. This was the boost I had been waiting for all day.
With making par from the trees on 18, it was time to wait for a potential playoff with a posted score of one under par 71.
Three hours later, it was playoff time. 8 players for 6 spots. I made par on the playoff hole, which was good enough to advance to the U.S. Amateur final qualifying in July. USGA qualifiers sure deliver on all of the emotions in golf!
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Brian also heads into the workshop to discuss several putter projects currently on the bench. From head options and shaft choices to build ideas and testing plans, he shares what he’s working on and which putters could become serious contenders for the bag this season.
If you’re a gear junkie who loves equipment testing, club building, and the never-ending pursuit of the perfect setup, this episode is for you.
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Troy Vayanos
Aug 8, 2013 at 12:14 am
I agree Fred, it’s a very wide open tournament even though the odds don’t necessarily reflect this.
Realistically there are several players who on their day are capable of winning this tournament.
Regards
Troy Vayanos
Aug 7, 2013 at 5:05 pm
Yes Barry Paul Casey has had a bid of resurgence in recent times winning the Irish Open in June and is great value at that price. If he finds some of the old form that had him really high in the world rankings he’d be a definite chance.
Regards
Barry
Aug 7, 2013 at 4:05 pm
I backed Paul Casey at 125-1 and Marcel Siem at 225-1 for the big wager of 1 euro each!-I might get a thrill early in the first round!
Troy Vayanos
Aug 7, 2013 at 2:55 pm
Hi Arthur,
Based on the odds to win the tournament is how they were considered outsiders. At 36/1 in any sort of betting event is usually a long shot to win.
Cheers
Fred
Aug 7, 2013 at 2:31 pm
It’s interesting how the writers are saying that Tiger is up against some tough competition this week. Aren’t these pretty much the same guys he handled last week? And all this talk about Tiger vs. Phil… considering Phil’s victory at the Open, it should have been that way last week – but Phil was barely in contention. I’m not suggesting Tiger will win (it is a major, after all), but the writer’s should try and be a bit more realistic when writing these stories. We could all be in for a big surprise this week.
Mike
Aug 8, 2013 at 7:30 am
Tiger was also “handled” by a few, and the rules, too… Let face is, tiger has become Greg Norman….except Norman actually won a major and tiger is oh-fer majors since yang “handled” him at the PGA oh so many years ago…
Arthur J
Aug 7, 2013 at 10:47 am
Not sure how Kaymer was an outsider when he won his PGA championship? Or how you can consider either Jason Day or Matt Kuchar to be outsiders this time?
Seems American writers consider any win outside of Phil/Tiger/Rory to be a ‘shock’.