The PGA Tour’s West Coast swing makes its final stop at historic Riviera Country Club to play the 2022 Genesis Invitational. This event is consistently one of the best tournaments of the year at one of the most iconic golf courses in the world.

Riviera Country Club is a Par 71 measuring 7,322 yards. The fairways and rough consist of Kikuya grass, and the greens are Poa annua.

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The Genesis Invitational field will consist of 121 players and is absolutely stacked at the top and very deep. All of the top ten in the official world golf rankings are teeing it up at Riviera this week, and it is looking like it will be the strongest field in the history of the event.

Genesis Invitational Outright Bets

Dustin Johnson (+1800)

The younger talent on the PGA Tour is arguably as good as it’s ever been at the moment. Jon Rahm is playing at an all-time level, Patrick Cantlay seems to contend every single week, and Collin Morikawa has two majors at the age of 25. With loads of hype surrounding these players, it would seem that future hall-of-famer Dustin Johnson has slipped through the cracks this week. For a golfer who hasn’t finished outside of the top 16 in his past eight starts at Riviera, including a win and three additional top five finishes, there is extraordinary value on this number.

We last saw DJ at Torrey Pines, where he was fresh off of a long layoff from playing, and he managed to play very well despite the rust. He finished in 25th and gained 8.3 strokes from tee to green. The following week, he found himself in contention at the Saudi International and was dominant from tee to green but failed to get enough putts to fall to win.

With evidence of peaking form from the 37-year-old, Riviera is one of the most likely spots on Tour for Johnson to notch his 25th PGA Tour victory.

Rory McIlroy (+2200)

Sticking with the undervalued theme, this number is a bit disrespectful to McIlroy, in my opinion. In his most recent start at the Dubai Desert Classic, he was in position to win on the 18th hole, but his ball found the water, which ended his chances.

McIlroy has some strong history at Riviera, including three top five finishes in his past three starts. The track is an immaculate fit for Rory, who hits the ball long and straight. He has also gained 0.7 strokes on the field in Strokes Gained: Around the Green for his career, which is an underrated part of his game that will come in handy this week. There is a strong correlation between Quail Hollow and Riviera due to the obvious overlap with the winners at each event. The Northern Irishman has won at Quail Hollow twice, including last year when he gained 5.3 strokes on approach.

The most appealing aspect about McIlroy this week is the potential return of his elite driving ability. When he is in form with the driver, there is no one on Tour (perhaps with the exception of Jon Rahm) who possesses his ability to hit it both long and straight. He gained almost four strokes off the tee in Dubai and seems to be getting along well with his new TaylorMade Stealth driver.

Rory has a lot to prove this year, and his path back to the top starts with a trip to one of golf’s most historic courses.

Marc Leishman (+5500):

Leishman checks all the boxes this week and is in the spot on the betting board when he has historically gotten it done. His most recent win on Tour (individually) was at the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. That week he was in the 50-1 range and now heads to a course that has some correlation to Torrey Pines. He has also shown a liking to Riviera, where he has two top five finishes in his past six tries.

The Australian has gained strokes from tee to green in six consecutive starts and has seemingly begun to figure out the driving woes he faced last season. It will be important to avoid three putts and be able to scramble around the green this week, and those are two areas where Leishman excels. In this elite field, he ranks 31st in Strokes Gained: Around the Green and 18th in three putts avoided.

The 38-year-old has win equity and when he gets himself in contention, is one of the more clutch putters on the PGA Tour. He also comes into the event off of a hot round in his most recent start at the Saudi International, where he finished his final round with a 64 (-6). If you’re backing an elite player this week, Leishman is a name you don’t want to see lurking on Sunday.

Joaquin Niemann (+6600):

Joaquin Niemann is incredibly talented and is another golfer who I feel is a bit mispriced in this field. The Chilean hits the ball long and straight, which is a major piece of the puzzle when trying to tame Riviera.

He was impressive in his first start of the season at Torrey Pines, where he finished in sixth place and gained 7.6 strokes from tee to green. I also like the fact that Niemann won’t have to keep up with a birdie fest and putt lights out in order to win. If he can have a ceiling ball striking week and keep the ball in play, he can get away with having an above-average putting week.

Niemann also fits the profile of a golfer who played well at Quail Hollow. He finished 18th last season at Wells Fargo and gained 5.2 strokes off the tee. While this would admittedly be a major jump in his career and a massive feat, this is an upside play, and the 23-year-old has the raw talent to make the leap.