I’ll begin with a humble brag. If you followed this article last week for the Olympics, you made out quite well. In the $10,000 range, I gave out Xander Schauffele, who won the tournament. In the $9,000 range, I gave out Shane Lowry, who finished a modest 22nd after a disappointing final round 71. In the $8,000 range, I gave out Cam Smith, who finished 10th. In the $7,000 range, I gave out Sebastian Munoz who finished in fourth place, and in the $6,000 range, I tipped Sepp Straka, who finished 10th.

With five of five selections finishing in the top-22, four of five finishing in the top-10, two of five finishing in the top-five, and selecting the winner, that core would have fared extremely well in any DraftKings contest. Let’s stay hot this week in Memphis and dig into the DraftKings slate for the WGC- FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

$10,000 range 

Dustin Johnson, $10,200 (Projected ownership: 13.3%)

I also wrote up Dustin Johnson in my betting tips article, so I won’t belabor all of the same points, but he is the clear play to me in this range. I love Brooks Koepka, but at close to 30% ownership, that’s a tough pill to swallow. Dustin Johnson is $400 dollars cheaper and coming it at less than half the ownership. Will Brooks Koepka outperform Dustin Johnson? Maybe. One could certainly make that argument. Yet is Brooks Koepka more than double likely to outperform Dustin Johnson? That’s where I have to draw the line. Take the savings with DJ here, especially because there are so many appealing options in the $9,000 range.

$9,000 range 

Justin Thomas, $9,900 (Projected ownership: 9.8%)

I have been very critical of Justin Thomas recently. I just haven’t liked what I have seen since he won the Players in March. With that being said, Thomas looked a lot closer to his old self last week at the Olympics. He recorded his best iron week in a month, and he improved his score every day, closing with a 65 on Sunday. Now he returns to a course he won at last year, and he is still coming in at sub 10%. A mistake people make is only looking at raw results and not diving into how a player has been trending over the course of the tournament. Most saw another disappointing finish for JT last week at the Olympics, I saw a player building confidence and momentum by the day. I expect him to be firmly in the mix this week in Memphis.

$8,000 range

Cameron Smith, $8,200 (Projected ownership: 5%)

I wrote up Cam Smith in this article last week, and he delivered for us with a top-10 finish at modest ownership. This week, he is even lower-owned, despite looking fantastic last week at the Olympics. Smith gained a whopping 5.1 strokes on approach at Kasumigaseki Golf Club, good for best iron week since last August. The only reason why he did not medal is because he lost strokes putting. Smith is an elite putter and I am expecting positive regression with the flat-stick this week.

$7,000 range

Tyrrell Hatton, $7,400 (Projected ownership: 16.1%)

Hatton is the most mis-priced player on the DraftKings slate. I am often weary of mis-priced golfers, as they tend to garner very high ownership and can often be a trap. In this instance however, 16% for the 13th-ranked player in the world at $7,400 is more than fair. Hatton has won four times in the last two years, and he just gained 12 strokes ball-striking only three starts ago. Hatton is a must place at this price.

$6,000 range

Robert MacIntyre, $6,600 (Projected ownership: 4.9%)

Here’s a simple example of how we can take advantage of recency bias. In his last start, Robert MacIntyre was a very popular $9,100 golfer at the 3M Open. He missed the cut because he lost three strokes putting. I understand this is a much stronger field, but now he $6,600 and coming in at sub-five percent ownership. For context, Dustin Johnson missed the cut at the 3M Open, and is now $800 cheaper in this field. Bobby Mac is $2,500 cheaper for producing the exact same result. MacIntyre is a fine player who just finished eighth at the British Open. This is a steal.