We did it again (times two)! Matt Kuchar came through for us last week allowing us to cash our 66-1 outright tickets for our fourth outright winner in only six weeks. We also added Spaun (12-1) and Werenski (28-1) top fives for a total of 100x at Mayakoba! This was one of our most exciting tournaments to watch as several members were sweating their DFS lineups throughout the weekend. Huge shout out to everyone who had a big week at Mayakoba!

This week, the FGB podcast covers some of our betting strategies and then further breaks down the field for the RSM Classic. Definitely give that a listen if you prefer to digest material in an audio format. Of course, you can always find me on Twitter (@Redkacheek), and I am more than happy to answer any questions you may have.

Let’s go ahead and take a look at the course. Here are the details of the course for The RSM Classic.

Course Snapshot

Course: Sea Island Resort (Seaside)
City: St. Simons Island, Georgia
Par: 70
Length: 7,005
Course Difficulty: 69.24 (35th)
Birdie Average: 3.43 (16th)
Birdie or Better Percentage: 19.47% (16th)

Course Rankings (OFF THE TEE)

SG: Tee-to-Green: N/A
SG: Off-the-Tee: N/A
Driving Distance: 288.8 (11th)
Driving Accuracy: 72.05% (48th)

Course Rankings (APPROACH TO THE GREEN)

SG: Approach-the-Green: N/A
GIR Percentage: 73.62 (46th)
Proximity to Hole: 35’ 8” (19th)
Rough Proximity: 45’ 5” (17th)
Fairway Proximity: 32’ 5” (16th)

Course Rankings (AROUND THE GREEN)

SG: Around-the-Green: N/A
Sand Save Percentage: 49.35% (24th)
Scrambling Percentage: 55.77% (16th)

Course Rankings (PUTTING)

SG: Putting: N/A
Putting Average: 1.797 (12th)
One-Putt Percentage: 33.11% (5th)
3-Putt Avoidance: 2.79 (32nd)
Putting – Inside 10’: 89.02% (36th)
Putting from – > 25’: 6.59% (35th)

This course has also played very consistent over the years, and that is great for us as we dig into the key stats. The main takeaways are driving accuracy and GIR percentage are both high. DA percentage was at 72 percent last year and GIR percentage was 74 percentage. The real trick is the difficulty with proximity from 125 to 200 yards being ranked inside the top 10 of most difficult in 2018. For that reason, I am really focusing on guys with strong proximity numbers with their irons.

As far as the rest of the course, there is not a ton that stands out. Scrambling is certainly difficult, but like I mentioned before these greens are hard to MISS so I am not weighing any scrambling stats. The only other key stat that this course highlights for me is par 4 scoring on 400-to-450 yard holes. Of course, I always include course history, so definitely take a look at recent years’ results to see who tends to show up here time and time again.

I will note that this tournament is played on two courses: Seaside and Plantation. Plantation will only be seen once by the players (either Thursday or Friday), but if you are looking to play Single Round Showdown contests or even just FRL bets, I would highly encourage you to keep your focus on the Plantation course as it played as one of the easiest courses in 2018.

As you can see, iron play, specifically proximity, is going to be critical this week, so here are my key stats for the week

• SG: T2G
• SG: APP
• Par 4 Scoring (400-450)
• Proximity (150 – 175)
• Proximity (125 – 150)
• Proximity (175 – 200)
• *Recent Form
• **Course History

The last two are not so much stat driven but should certainly be considered when building out your player pool. I use course history as a gauge but not a be-all and end-all, and same goes for recent form where I like to SEE which guys have some momentum (good or bad) coming into this week.

I am going to list out the top cash and GPP plays in each price range to help you get a better picture of how to build your lineups…

Expensive

Webb Simpson ($11,800) (GPP)
J.J. Spaun ($10,400) (GPP)
Lucas Glover ($9,900) (Cash/GPP)
C.T. Pan ($9,000) (Cash/GPP)
Russell Henley ($9,500) (GPP)

Mid-tier

Joaquin Niemann ($8,900) (Cash/GPP)
Sam Ryder ($8,600) (Cash/GPP)
Chris Kirk ($8,500) (Cash/GPP)
Jim Furyk ($8,200) (GPP)
Sungjae Im ($8,000) (GPP)

Value

Bud Cauley ($7,900) (GPP)
Richy Werenski ($7,800) (GPP)
Stewart Cink ($7,700) (Cash/GPP)
Bronson Burgoon ($7,700) (GPP)
Michael Thompson ($7,600) (GPP)
Brian Gay ($7,500) (Cash/GPP)
Ryan Armour ($7,500) (GPP)
Kramer Hickok ($7,400) (GPP)
Anders Albertson ($7,300) (GPP)

Super VALUE

Stephan Jaeger ($6,800) (GPP)
Joel Dahmen ($6,900) (Cash/GPP)
Carlos Ortiz ($6,800) (GPP)
Tom Lovelady ($6,500) (GPP)